Born to run: how sporting seasons determine success
It’s all down to whether your birthday falls in the football or cricket season that dictates sporting prowess
With the clocks rejigged to end British summer time this weekend, I was pondering seasonal matters when I came across one of 2009’s bestseller paperbacks, Outliers: The Story of Success (Penguin, £9.99), by New Yorker whizz-kid Malcolm Gladwell. In an enviably skilful mix of pop psychology, anecdote, smoke, mirrors and statistical analysis, the author gaily and glibly piles surmise upon ye bleedin’ obvious to conclude life’s a doddling cinch as long as you’re born in the right place at the right time.
Dead-cert success, Gladwell reckons, is to get yourself born in the first three months of the year. January, February or March makes for a very happy birthday indeed. With star-billing assured: well, the finest Canadian ice-hockey players managed just that; so, for good measure, did most leading Italian footballers.
Such a single criterion might have sold a zillion books worldwide, but it does not remotely apply in British sport and I spent half of yesterday poring over parchmenty old reference books in proving it.
Only two (Crouch, January; Barry, February) of the England footballers who started against Belarus at Wembley last week were born in the first three months of the year. A few years ago, Sir Trevor Brooking wrote a book listing Britain’s 100 Best Footballers ever: only 17 of the 100 had birthdays between January and March.
Likewise, I’m looking at Rugby World’s nomination of Europe’s 50 finest all-time rugby players: just 16 of them were born in a year’s first three months. Christopher Martin-Jenkins recently did the same sort of thing for cricketers: of his England Top 10 – Grace, Hobbs, Barnes, Hammond, Rhodes, Hutton, Botham, Compton, Trueman and Bedser – only one (Trueman, February) had a birthday to back up Gladwell’s dogmatic submission. Need I go on?
Far more intriguing, I fancy, are my own findings. Does Gladwell want them for his next money-printing, party-piece potboiler? In Britain, goes my thesis, the sporting season Read more…

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